These two sides fought out a short and very entertaining series in the summer with England just having the edge in two tests. It was a high scoring affair with Eddie Jones’ tourists pushed all the way but we should probably expect a different result when they meet at Twickenham this Saturday.
England’s squad was depleted in the summer with call ups to the Lions’ series taking precedent and with Jones’ men almost back to full strength, the hosts are hot favourites at the start of the Autumn Internationals.
Ahead of the game, the best possible odds on an English win stand at a very skinny 2/25 with MarathonBet. Victory for Argentina is out at a top price of 11/1 with Ladbrokes and Betway while the draw, a rare event for any game of rugby, is quoted at a best of 66/1 with Boylesports.
Argentinean rugby has enjoyed its most productive period in recent years and one which culminated in a semi final appearance at the 2015 Rugby World Cup. They beat Ireland on the way to that landmark and have some notable scalps but away from home against the big sides they can struggle. The odds setters seem to have got this right but England look unbackable at that price so it’s probably a case of looking at the side bets for this contest.
If that 2/25 on England has deterred you from getting involved then bear with us. England are likely to win the match but this Argentinean side can be tough to break down and this may be closer than many expect.
If that theory is backed up on Saturday then there could be some serious value in this fixture and it starts with a small selection of try scoring markets.
England are favourites to score the first try at a best of 3/10 with Bet365 but in the Six Nations they started slowly on occasions and the visitors could be a good option here at a top price of 7/2 with Paddy Power.
Player positioning for the first try is more interesting however and we’ll make our first tip in this market. The price that stands out is the best of 13/8 with Betway on a forward to cross the line first but a back is favourite at a top price of 4/9 with Paddy Power and we think the bookies have got that right.
In the summer, we saw an open and attacking set of games between these sides but on a cold, wet November afternoon in England, the true nature of the teams will come out in a duel between the back rows.
Other Side Bets
Shock results are rare in rugby and in a game where one side has such short win odds, a number of side markets will come into play. One of those is the Winning Margin bet where the value is in a potentially tight game.
If you do feel that England will walk this game then Betway are offering best odds of 5/1 on Eddie Jones’ men winning by between 31 and 40 points. That seems a little extreme and the price that stands out here is England by 11 to 20 which is quoted at a top price of 11/4 with Betway again.
Similarly, you could take a look at the handicap betting here which offers some further options. However, those options start a little too high for comfort and giving Argentina a 20 point head start will just return best odds of Even Money with Betway.
To complete the set of tips, we’ll therefore take best odds of 8/11 with Bet365 on the second half to be the highest scoring. A tight opening should give way to higher scoring in the second period as tired legs set in.
England for the win is the obvious bet but Argentina continue to grow as a rugby playing nation and they can run the home side close, leading to some better priced options if you look away from the result betting.
- A back to score the first try at 4/9 with Paddy Power
- England to win by 11 to 20 points at 11/4 with Betway
- The Second Half to be the highest scoring at 8/11 with Bet365