Many would say that Everton have been transformed as a side since the arrival of new manager Carlo Ancelotti. As previous boss Marco Silva’s reign came to an end, the Toffees had one eye on a relegation scrap but the team can now look forward to a genuine tilt at the European places.
As we approach Sunday’s game at Goodison, Manchester United sit in fifth place in the Premier League table while Everton are now five points behind in 11th. There’s still something of a gap in terms of league places but that uplift in form under Ancelotti suggests that this will be a tight contest.
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Event Date: March 1, 2020
The bookmakers tend to agree with our assessment and ahead of this 2pm kick off on March 1st, there are odds against prices on all three possible outcomes. Everton are favourites to pick up three points and you can back the hosts at best odds of 8/5 with SportNation and RedZone while a win for Manchester United is only just behind at 9/5 with William Hill and BetFred.
The draw completes the result betting at 23/10 with Betway and 888Sport and given the close nature of these teams, there will be plenty of backers for a share of the points.
It’s clearly going to be a tough call but we suspect there is some value in backing the away side here. Manchester United have seen an upturn in fortunes since January and much of that is down to the arrival of new signing Bruno Fernandes. One man can’t transform a team but United look a more solid unit and if we look at the form table, the Red Devils are unbeaten in their last five.
There is value right across that result market but at those 9/5 win odds, Manchester United are just too tempting to turn down.
Individual Goal Scorers
The bookmakers can’t seem to decide who should take the favourites’ berth in the first goalscorer market. Some have United’s Anthony Martial in first place and you can pick up the French striker at odds of 5/1 with Unibet and 888Sport. Others also quote Everton’s Richarlison at 5/1 while the Brazilian drops to 7/2 in some places. However, that duo of Unibet and 888Sport have the best industry odds on Richarlison at 23/4.
Naturally there are lots of other options in the first goalscorer betting and you could get behind the in-form Dominic Calvert-Lewin at a top price of 6/1 with Vbet. Moise Kean is slightly further back at a best of 13/2 with 888Sport and Unibet but the youngster tends to start from the bench so he probably should be avoided.
In terms of some long range value for this match, you could look towards United’s exciting youngster Mason Greenwood who is quoted at best odds of 7/1 with Unibet and 888Sport once again.
Your profit should come from one of those names but we have touched on the influence of Manchester United’s new signing Bruno Fernandes. The Portuguese midfielder has scored two in his first five matches for his new club and can be claimed at that same price of 7/1 with Unibet and 888Sport.
Fernandes looks a strong pick and it’s interesting to note that he took the responsibility as Manchester United’s penalty taker in the 5-0 win over Club Brugge on Thursday night. 7/1 for an opening goal is a bit of a ‘punt’ but at 5/2 with BetFred to find the net in 90 minutes, he still offers some value.
Other Side Bets
Both Teams to Score has crept up to a healthy price of 3/4 with Ladbrokes and Coral for this game and that’s a wager we’ll be adding to our betslip. It’s higher than usual because Manchester United have only conceded one goal in their last five matches but Everton have 11 in the same five-game period. BTTS would have dropped in across all of those five Toffees’ fixtures so we are confident about this one.
Similarly, we could take over 3.5 goals at best odds of 11/4 with VBet which would obviously give us a better price but we want to balance our three tips. If you want to unbalance them again then you could look at the Correct Score betting where our preference is for Everton 1 Manchester United 3 which is quoted at a top price of 25/1 with Coral and VBet.
United’s transformation has largely gone unnoticed but a run of five games unbeaten with just one goal conceded in that time means that we should take them seriously. Never mind Manchester City’s troubles and the possibility of Champions League football going down to fifth place, the Red Devils can hit the top four if they maintain that form and we’re backing it to continue on Sunday.
- Manchester United to win at 9/5 with William Hill
- Bruno Fernandes to score at any time in 90 minutes at 5/2 with BetFred
- Both Teams to Score at 3/4 with Coral